Target the Big 6: GW1-19 Clean Sheet Odds & Fixtures

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Published Tuesday 11 August 2026 by Luke Socic

Premium defenders can be some of the most reliable FPL assets, but timing when to bring them in is key to maximising their clean sheet returns.

Clean sheets account for around 50% of defender points in FPL, meaning a defender from an elite defence effectively starts each match with a 4-point upside before factoring in DEFCON, bonus points, or attacking returns.

This table highlights the clean sheet odds for all Big 6 teams across the first half of the season, helping managers plan when to target, bring in, or hold their defensive assets. Each team's best 5-game streak is bolded.

DON'T FORGET: A clean sheet percentage (CS%) below 50% means a clean sheet is still less likely than not.

Arsenal

Chelsea

Liverpool

Man City

Man United

Tottenham

GW1

61%

25%

23%

34%🔥

45%

21%

GW2

35%

28%

37%

33%🔥

42%

27%

GW3

37%

15%

35%

47%🔥

31%

25%

GW4

47%

47%🔥

36%

21%🔥

20%

34%

GW5

35%

24%🔥

24% ❄️

44%🔥

29%

26%

GW6

49% 🔥

29%🔥

20% ❄️

18%

30%

15%

GW7

42% 🔥

29%🔥

26% ❄️

45%

29%

40%

GW8

50% 🔥

28%🔥

30% ❄️

26% ❄️

31%

15%

GW9

26% 🔥

23%

23% ❄️

26% ❄️

18% ❄️

33%🔥

GW10

60% 🔥

32%

30%

33% ❄️

30% ❄️

25%🔥

GW11

37% ❄️

34%

25%

32% ❄️

16% ❄️

38%🔥

GW12

32% ❄️

27% ❄️

31%

39% ❄️

33% ❄️

30%🔥

GW13

38% ❄️

35% ❄️

41%

19%

24% ❄️

32%🔥

GW14

35% ❄️

20% ❄️

18%

39%

44%🔥

19%

GW15

44% ❄️

12% ❄️

37%🔥

28%

30%🔥

38% ❄️

GW16

37%

28% ❄️

30%🔥

27%

17%🔥

12% ❄️

GW17

42%

35%

42%🔥

51%

37%🔥

27% ❄️

GW18

41%

33%

23%🔥

34%

41%🔥

26% ❄️

GW19

54%

29%

44%🔥

33%

23%

11% ❄️

AVERAGE CS%

42% 🥇

28%

30% 🥉

33% 🥈

30% 🥉

26%

Clean sheet data courtesy of Rob T @robtFPL


Arsenal:

Best 5-week period: GW6-GW10 🔥

Worst 5-week period: GW11-GW15 ❄️


Chelsea:

Best 5-week period: GW4-GW8 🔥

Worst 5-week period: GW12-GW16 ❄️


Liverpool:

Best 5-week period: GW15-GW19 🔥

Worst 5-week period: GW5-GW9 ❄️


Manchester City:

Best 5-week period: GW1-GW5 🔥

Worst 5-week period: GW8-GW12 ❄️


Manchester United:

Best 5-week period: GW14-GW19 🔥

Worst 5-week period: GW9-GW13 ❄️


Tottenham

Best 5-week period: GW9-GW13 🔥

Worst 5-week period: GW15-GW19 ❄️


The Takeaways:

  • FIXTURES ARE KEY

  • Arsenal are the outlier, with strong CS% regardless of opponent, while most Big 6 sides are far more fixture-dependent.

  • Even Arsenal's weakest period outperforms the strongest period of every other Big 6 defence.

  • Every team's highest CS% comes against newly promoted teams

  • Only 4 games exceed 50% CS%

  • Best CS% teams in order: Arsenal, Man City, Liverpool/United, Chelsea, Tottenham

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About the author - Luke Socic

Luke Socic

Australian-born Liverpool fan now based in England, combining a love for football, Fantasy Premier League, and data-driven analysis. I enjoy digging into the numbers, spotting trends, and searching for the next FPL edge, while still trusting the occasional gut feeling (usually at my own risk).

Outside of writing, I work in healthcare and love chatting all things football, so feel free to reach out on Twitter (@LukeSocic) for FPL debates, player discussions, or anything sport related.

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